Senior Geopolitics Forecaster

We are a risk advisory firm driven by binary predictions on geopolitical hotspots. Our mission is straightforward: to provide probability\-driven, actionable decision support for clients navigating a complex and rapidly changing global landscape. We are currently looking for a Senior Geopolitical Forecaster to join our partner network. If you have direct experience in the public sector or strategic analysis, and have access to reliable information channels, we would love to hear from you. \_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_ **Key Responsibilities** **Risk Monitoring \& Alerting** * Continuously track the latest developments in your area of expertise. Identify inflection points and issue timely alerts when new information suggests a change to previously assessed probabilities. **Forecast Production** * Produce concise, exclusive forecasts on designated geopolitical hotspots such as Indo\-Pacific security and Middle East dynamics. Provide clear probability assessments and rationale based on reliable, non\-open\-source internal channels. **Information Gathering \& Network Utilization** * Leverage your existing professional network and trusted internal sources to gather decision\-relevant information, including policy directions, military postures, and diplomatic negotiation dynamics. **Collaborative Quality Assurance** * Work with our internal team to validate forecast logic, clarify the reliability of information sources, and refine analytical assumptions. Ensure alignment with our strict quality standards. \_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_ **Qualifications** **Experience \& Background** * Proven experience in geopolitical analysis, whether through direct or indirect roles in the public sector (e.g., foreign affairs or defense) or in strategic analysis positions. * Ability to access or utilize authoritative internal sources. This role is not suitable for candidates who rely solely on open\-source or media\-based information. **Knowledge \& Skills** * Deep understanding of one or more high\-risk regions or functional areas, including U.S. foreign policy, Indo\-Pacific security architecture, Middle East geopolitics, or European defense dynamics. * Solid grasp of how real\-world decisions are made, with a clear understanding of the core drivers behind changes in global geopolitical dynamics. * Ability to translate complex and ambiguous situations into clear, verifiable forecasts with explicitly stated confidence levels. **Education \& Work Style** * Bachelor's degree or higher in Political Science, International Relations, Security Studies, Law, or a related field. * Self\-disciplined, rigorous, and able to work remotely across time zones. * Fluent in English (written and spoken). Proficiency in additional regional languages is a plus. \_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_ **What We Offer** * A flexible, remote collaboration model that respects your schedule and professional judgment. * Performance\-based compensation tied to the quality and accuracy of your forecasts. * The opportunity to work on some of the most consequential geopolitical issues of our time, with your analysis directly informing real\-world decision\-making. * A transparent, respectful, and growth\-oriented partnership — not just a transactional relationship. Pay: $2,000\.00 \- $4,000\.00 per month Benefits: * Flexible schedule Work Location: Remote